Market Data as of August 31, 2026
San Francisco by the Bay — Rental Market Data
Building Summary & Rental Market Overview
Rental market analytics and building profile as of August 31, 2026.
San Francisco by the Bay, situated at 1235 Bayly St within the Pickering submarket, is an established residential building completed in 2012 by Chestnut Hill Developments. Spanning 236 total suites, the property currently maintains 4 active listings out of its 236 units, resulting in an availability rate of 1.7 percent. Over the 90-day period, the building recorded 4 closed leases clearing in an average of 33 days, while the 30-day window captured 2 closed leases averaging 34 days on the market.
Active asking rents average $2,569 per month at $3.82 per square foot across an average footprint of 688 square feet, sitting above realized 90-day leases which averaged $2,519 per month at $3.38 per square foot across 753 square feet due to more compact active suite sizing. The building's active asking rate per square foot exceeds the broader Pickering submarket asking benchmark of $3.58 per square foot by 6.7 percent.
Leasing friction remains minimal with active listings averaging 19 days on the market and zero delisted inventory recorded, while 40 percent of recent leases closed at a tenant discount averaging 2.41 percent or $65 per month below asking. Prospective tenants will find that 1-Bedroom + Den layouts offer the deepest active selection with a 50 percent inventory share, whereas traditional 1-Bedroom and larger 2-Bedroom + Den configurations each represent single-listing availability.
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Active Rental Inventory & Asking Rates
Current market availability, asking prices, and unit price histories at San Francisco by the Bay as of August 31, 2026 (comparing August 2026 vs July 2026).
Active Market Insights & Questions
How has rental availability changed at San Francisco by the Bay recently?
San Francisco by the Bay features 4 active listings as of August 31, 2026, with asking rents ranging from $2,400 to $2,800 per month, averaging $2,569 per month and a median asking rent of $2,537 per month. Active suites maintain an average square footage of 688 square feet and an asking rate of $3.82 per square foot. The inventory is heavily anchored by 1-Bedroom + Den configurations holding a 50 percent dominant share, reflecting an active inventory pool that leans toward compact entry-level layouts rather than sprawling multi-bedroom executive suites.
What floor plans and unit layouts are currently available at San Francisco by the Bay?
The dominant active layout at San Francisco by the Bay is the 1-Bedroom + Den, accounting for 2 active listings and a 50 percent inventory share with an average asking rent of $2,537 per month across an average of 650 square feet at $3.90 per square foot. Single 1-Bedroom suites represent a 25 percent share of active inventory, offering compact footprints averaging 550 square feet at an asking rent of $2,400 per month and a higher rate of $4.36 per square foot. Larger 2-Bedroom + Den options also comprise a 25 percent share through a single listing, commanding an average asking rent of $2,800 per month across 900 square feet at $3.11 per square foot.
What is the average asking rent and $/SF by suite size at San Francisco by the Bay?
San Francisco by the Bay presents an entry-level minimum asking rent of $2,400 per month and a peak asking rent of $2,800 per month, creating a dollar spread of $400 per month or a 16.7 percent spread. The median asking rent rests at $2,537 per month across the active pool. The entry-level price point is anchored by a 1-Bedroom layout spanning 550 square feet at $4.36 per square foot, while the peak asking rent is commanded by a 2-Bedroom + Den layout spanning 900 square feet at $3.11 per square foot.
How much extra do parking spaces and dens cost at San Francisco by the Bay?
San Francisco by the Bay commands an active den premium of $137 per month for layouts offering an additional 100 square feet of den space. This extra square footage translates to a marginal cost of $1.37 per square foot for the den space. Active parking stall premiums cannot be reliably isolated from current listings due to an insufficient paired sample.
How do asking rents at San Francisco by the Bay compare to local and municipal benchmarks?
San Francisco by the Bay asks an average of $2,569 per month at $3.82 per square foot, comparing against the Pickering submarket asking benchmark of $2,542 per month and $3.58 per square foot. The slightly higher nominal asking rent and rate per square foot are driven by compact suite sizing across the active inventory, with the building's asking rate per square foot standing 6.7 percent above the broader submarket benchmark while representing 17.4 percent of active submarket inventory.
Recent Leased Transactions & Contract Prices
Recent lease transactions, absorption velocity, and the difference between landlord asking prices and actual prices agreed to by tenants at San Francisco by the Bay (Data period: For the month of August 2026).
Leased Transaction Insights & Questions
How many suites were leased at San Francisco by the Bay last month, and how fast did they rent?
At San Francisco by the Bay, the 30-day average days on market is 34 days, the 90-day average days on market is 33 days, and the Pickering submarket benchmark sits at 26 days. Leasing turnover showed steady activity, recording 2 closed deals over the past 30 days, 4 closed deals over the past 90 days, and 5 lifetime closed leases over the tracked period. This pace indicates stable leasing demand with slight moderation compared to the broader submarket average.
What is the negotiation spread between asking rents and closed lease prices at San Francisco by the Bay?
At San Francisco by the Bay, transactions settled with an average discount of $65 per month, representing a 2.41% variance below asking price and annual tenant savings of $780 per year. Exactly 40.0% of leases closed below asking price, reflecting moderate tenant leverage and landlord concessions in a competitive leasing environment.
What are typical executed lease prices across different layouts at San Francisco by the Bay?
The two highest-volume anchor layouts at San Francisco by the Bay are the 2-Bedroom and 1-Bedroom + Den tiers. The 2-Bedroom tier recorded an average monthly rent of $2,583 with an average of 34 days on market across a small sample size of 3 closed leases. The 1-Bedroom + Den tier recorded an average monthly rent of $2,413 with an average of 34 days on market across a small sample size of 2 closed leases. For the 2-Bedroom tier, the median rent was $2,500 per month, the P25-P75 range spanned $2,500 to $2,625 per month, the average suite size was 817 square feet, and the average rate per square foot was $3.17 per square foot. For the 1-Bedroom + Den tier, the median rent was $2,412 per month, the P25-P75 range spanned $2,381 to $2,444 per month, the average suite size was 657 square feet, and the average rate per square foot was $3.68 per square foot.
What measurable rent premium did suites with parking achieve in closed leases at San Francisco by the Bay?
At San Francisco by the Bay, realized parking premium data is inconclusive due to insufficient paired data across the closed lease dataset. Parking access was either bundled directly into the base rent or omitted as a distinct line item in historical lease records. Consequently, active asking parking rates cannot be reliably isolated against closed transaction figures.
How does the lease-to-listing ratio at San Francisco by the Bay reflect current tenant demand?
At San Francisco by the Bay, overall rent trajectory remained relatively stable across the tracked spring and summer leasing timeline. In May 2026, 1 deal closed at an average rent of $2,500 per month ($3.33 per square foot) with 39 days on market. In June 2026, 2 deals closed at an average rent of $2,625 per month ($3.09 per square foot) with 32 days on market. In August 2026, 2 deals closed at an average rent of $2,413 per month ($3.68 per square foot) with 34 days on market.
Historical Active Listings & Market Dynamics
Analyze availability, historical asking prices, price per foot ($/SF), and days on market over time. Use filters below to benchmark specific layouts.
| Date | Units Available | Avg Price ($) | Avg SqFt (SF) | Avg PSF ($/SF) | Avg DOM (Days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 30 |
| 2026-04-28 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 31 |
| 2026-04-29 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 32 |
| 2026-04-30 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 33 |
| 2026-05-01 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 34 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 35 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 36 |
| 2026-05-04 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 37 |
| 2026-05-05 | 1 | 2750 | 750 | 3.67 | 38 |
| 2026-05-14 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | N/A |
| 2026-05-15 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 1 |
| 2026-05-16 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 2 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 3 |
| 2026-05-18 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 5 |
| 2026-05-20 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 6 |
| 2026-05-21 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 7 |
| 2026-05-22 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 8 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 9 |
| 2026-05-24 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 10 |
| 2026-05-25 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 11 |
| 2026-05-26 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 12 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 13 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 14 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 15 |
| 2026-05-30 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 16 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 17 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 18 |
| 2026-06-02 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 19 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 20 |
| 2026-06-04 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 21 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 22 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 23 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 24 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 25 |
| 2026-06-09 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 26 |
| 2026-06-10 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 27 |
| 2026-06-11 | 2 | 2625 | 850 | 3.09 | 28 |
| 2026-06-12 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 29 |
| 2026-06-13 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 30 |
| 2026-06-14 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 31 |
| 2026-06-15 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 32 |
| 2026-06-16 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 33 |
| 2026-06-17 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 34 |
| 2026-06-18 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 35 |
| 2026-07-18 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | N/A |
| 2026-07-19 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 1 |
| 2026-07-20 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 2 |
| 2026-07-21 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 3 |
| 2026-07-22 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 4 |
| 2026-07-23 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 5 |
| 2026-07-24 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 6 |
| 2026-07-25 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 7 |
| 2026-07-26 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 8 |
| 2026-07-27 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 9 |
| 2026-07-28 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 10 |
| 2026-07-29 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 11 |
| 2026-07-30 | 1 | 2550 | 650 | 3.92 | 12 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2 | 2450 | 657 | 3.73 | 7 |
| 2026-08-01 | 2 | 2450 | 657 | 3.73 | 8 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2 | 2450 | 657 | 3.73 | 9 |
| 2026-08-03 | 2 | 2450 | 657 | 3.73 | 10 |
| 2026-08-04 | 3 | 2500 | 654 | 3.82 | 7 |
| 2026-08-05 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 6 |
| 2026-08-06 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 7 |
| 2026-08-07 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 8 |
| 2026-08-08 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 9 |
| 2026-08-09 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 10 |
| 2026-08-10 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 11 |
| 2026-08-11 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 12 |
| 2026-08-12 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 13 |
| 2026-08-13 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 14 |
| 2026-08-14 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 15 |
| 2026-08-15 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 16 |
| 2026-08-16 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 17 |
| 2026-08-17 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 18 |
| 2026-08-18 | 4 | 2575 | 716 | 3.64 | 19 |
| 2026-08-19 | 5 | 2540 | 683 | 3.79 | 16 |
| 2026-08-20 | 6 | 2529 | 677 | 3.79 | 14 |
| 2026-08-21 | 6 | 2529 | 677 | 3.79 | 15 |
| 2026-08-22 | 6 | 2529 | 677 | 3.79 | 16 |
| 2026-08-23 | 6 | 2529 | 677 | 3.79 | 17 |
| 2026-08-24 | 5 | 2565 | 680 | 3.84 | 17 |
| 2026-08-25 | 5 | 2565 | 680 | 3.84 | 18 |
| 2026-08-26 | 5 | 2565 | 680 | 3.84 | 19 |
| 2026-08-27 | 5 | 2565 | 680 | 3.84 | 20 |
| 2026-08-28 | 5 | 2565 | 680 | 3.84 | 21 |
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 2565 | 680 | 3.84 | 22 |
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 2569 | 688 | 3.82 | 18 |
| 2026-08-31 | 4 | 2569 | 688 | 3.82 | 19 |
12-Month Market Dynamics & Trend Trajectory
San Francisco by the Bay has recorded a lifetime leasing volume of 5 closed transactions, achieving an average monthly rent of $2,515 per month and an average rate of $3.37 per square foot. Suites averaged 753 square feet with a lifetime average of 34 days on market, demonstrating consistent tenant turnover and steady demand within the Pickering submarket. Pricing discipline during the tracked period favored prospective tenants, with transactions exhibiting a net negotiation discount averaging $65 per month or 2.41% below asking price. With 40% of leases securing concessions below initial asking rents, tenants successfully captured minor pricing relief while landlords adjusted expectations to match prevailing market conditions.
Historical building statistics - leased transactions
This section tracks completed leasing transactions over time starting from May 1, 2026. Use the filters below to refine the trends by unit type, parking, den, and price performance.
Latest leased insights and trends
| Date | Units Leased | Avg Leased Price ($) | Avg SqFt (SF) | Avg PSF ($/SF) | Avg DOM (Days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 1 | 2500 | 750 | 3.33 | 39 |
| 2026-05-10 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-05-17 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-05-24 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-05-31 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-07 | 1 | 2750 | 850 | 3.24 | 28 |
| 2026-06-14 | 1 | 2500 | 850 | 2.94 | 36 |
| 2026-06-21 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-28 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-05 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-12 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-19 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-26 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-02 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-09 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-16 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-23 | 1 | 2350 | 663 | 3.54 | 24 |
| 2026-08-30 | 1 | 2475 | 650 | 3.81 | 43 |
Nearby Building Rental Comparables & Price Spreads
Direct rental rate comparisons against residential properties in the immediate vicinity.
San Francisco by the Bay is anchored in a competitive micro-market alongside nearby rivals including San Francisco by the Bay II at 1215 Bayly St (0.07 kilometers away, completed in 2017, with 12 active listings), SF3 - San Francisco by the Bay 3 at 1245-1255 Bayly St (0.14 kilometers away, completed in 2020, with 8 active listings), Universal City Tower 3 at 1435 Celebration Dr (1.0 kilometers away, completed in 2025, with 39 active listings), and Universal City Two at 1455 Celebration Dr (1.01 kilometers away, completed in 2024, with 25 active listings). Completed in 2012, the subject building represents an established structural generation compared to the mid-2010s and 2020s completions surrounding it. Across the micro-market, overall comparable properties average $2,317 per month at $3.35 per square foot across an average suite size of 710 square feet. San Francisco by the Bay positions itself competitively within this peer group by leveraging its established community scale, balancing its 2012 construction era with attractive value propositions relative to newer, higher-priced towers in the immediate vicinity.
Comparable Analysis & Questions
How do rental rates at San Francisco by the Bay compare to neighbouring buildings within Pickering?
San Francisco by the Bay achieves an average lease rent of $2,515 per month, comparing against an overall comparable average of $2,317 per month across key benchmarks such as San Francisco by the Bay II and Universal City Two. San Francisco by the Bay II (1215 Bayly St) reports an average lease rent of $2,438 per month at $3.31 per square foot across an average of 767 square feet. SF3 - San Francisco by the Bay 3 (1245-1255 Bayly St) records an average lease rent of $2,378 per month at $3.26 per square foot across 744 square feet. Universal City Tower 3 (1435 Celebration Dr) demonstrates an average lease rent of $2,209 per month at $3.31 per square foot across 676 square feet. Universal City Two (1455 Celebration Dr) posts an average lease rent of $2,241 per month at $3.53 per square foot across 654 square feet.
Does San Francisco by the Bay offer a competitive price-per-square-foot ($/SF) against local comparables?
San Francisco by the Bay establishes its value proposition by delivering an average leased rate of $3.37 per square foot across a generous average suite size of 753 square feet, comparing favorably against submarket benchmarks. Renters evaluating San Francisco by the Bay against Universal City Two (1455 Celebration Dr)—which commands a higher rate of $3.53 per square foot across a smaller 654 square foot layout—benefit from a more economical rate per square foot and 99 more interior square feet. While newer towers like Universal City Tower 3 (1435 Celebration Dr, leased at $3.31 per square foot across 676 square feet) offer modern finishes, San Francisco by the Bay provides larger, traditional footprints that appeal to tenants prioritizing spacious floor plans over ultra-compact contemporary layouts.
How do building age, amenities, and developer reputation impact rent spreads?
San Francisco by the Bay delivers an extensive lifestyle and amenity package that matches or exceeds the offerings found across newer competing developments in the micro-market. The building features signature amenities including an indoor pool, a dedicated yoga studio, a hot tub and jacuzzi, a sauna and steam room, and a rooftop terrace. When contrasted with peer properties like San Francisco by the Bay II (which includes an indoor pool and yoga studio but lacks the subject's specific rooftop terrace configuration) and Universal City Tower 3 (which offers a pet wash station and fire pits alongside standard fitness spaces), San Francisco by the Bay maintains a comprehensive wellness and leisure program. This robust amenity suite particularly serves fitness-focused professionals and residents seeking resort-style common elements without paying peak premiums found in newer 2024 and 2025 completions.
Building Amenities, Transit & Neighbourhood Features
Building amenities and neighbouring residential communities around San Francisco by the Bay.
Building Amenities
- Concierge & Security
- Gym & Fitness Centre
- Indoor Pool
- Yoga Studio
- Party & Lounge Room
- Meeting Room
- Dining Room & Kitchen
- Rooftop Terrace
- BBQ Area
- Hot Tub & Jacuzzi
- Sauna & Steam Room
- Games & Billiards Room
Residential Buildings in the Vicinity
- San Francisco by the Bay II67 m
- SF3 - San Francisco by the Bay 3136 m
- Universal City Tower 31.0 km
- Universal City Two1.0 km
- Universal City - I1.1 km
- Liberty at Discovery Place1.4 km
- Millennium I1.4 km
- Discovery Place II1.5 km
- Village at the Pines1.6 km
- Universal City East1.6 km
- Discovery Place I1.6 km
- The Brockstone2.0 km
Data Methodology & Analytical Standards
How FastScreen aggregates public listing records, tracks active inventory, and calculates rental market metrics for San Francisco by the Bay.
Snapshot Dates & Benchmark Cadence
- Standardized Snapshot: Market metrics reflect a standardized monthly snapshot locked as of August 31, 2026.
- Benchmark Comparison Cadence: Month-over-month comparisons evaluate changes across standardized month-end reporting windows (August 2026 vs July 2026), ensuring consistent baseline periods and eliminating intra-month reporting volatility.
- Point-in-Time Daily History: Daily charts capture point-in-time active listings available on any given calendar day.
Public Data Aggregation & Thresholds
- Public Data Aggregation: FastScreen aggregates residential rental listing and completed lease transaction records from publicly available sources.
- Threshold Filtering: All listings are subject to a minimum monthly rental threshold of $1,000 to filter out standalone storage lockers, private parking spaces, and misclassified commercial entries from condominium statistics.
Calculation Formulations
- Average Asking Rent: Weighted average of active asking prices across available suites in the reporting period.
- Price Per Square Foot ($/SF): Calculated by dividing rent by square footage only for listings that provide unit dimensions (suites without stated square footage are excluded from $/SF calculations).
- Days on Market (DOM): Measures elapsed calendar days between the date a suite is first listed and either the benchmark snapshot date (for active listings) or the finalized date leased.
- Parking & Den Differentials: Average asking rent differences between suites with vs. without parking, and suites with vs. without a den.
Data Limitations & Scope
- Exclusively Public Records: Statistics are derived exclusively from publicly available rental listings and completed lease records. Private direct-to-landlord arrangements, unadvertised tenant renewals, and off-market rental agreements are not captured.
- Agreed Contract Amounts: Reported lease amounts reflect agreed contract rents and do not account for private move-in allowances or individual unit renovations that may influence pricing spreads.
Disclaimer: The information and statistics presented on this page (including asking rents, lease prices, de-listed listings, average square footage, days on market, and implied suite premiums) are aggregated from public listing sources for general informational, educational, and reference purposes only. FastScreen does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data shown. This information does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or professional real estate advice. Users should conduct their own independent research and consult with licensed professionals before making any rental, leasing, property management, or real estate investment decisions.
